Next Interest Rate Phase Starting - Earnings: TD, RY, CM, BNS, BRE
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Acknowledgement by the US central bank that interest rates are approaching neutral marks the beginning of a major change for US monetary policy. The 600 point one day recovery for the Dow Jones Index after the US Central Bank did not raise interest rates, illustrates the importance of interest rates to valuations.
This is a first indication of a transition to a new monetary policy direction that is expected to begin a lengthy period of low interest rate volatility, much around the current levels. Trump only hastened the transition, by breaking protocol when he openly criticized US Central Bank Chairman Jerome Powell's capabilities.
Periods of rising interest rates eventually take their economic toll, exactly as they are intended to do. Economics is called the dismal science for good reason. Then as interest rates are reduced the economic recovery begins again, and the cycle repeats. Since the early 1980's, each iteration of the interest rate cycle has been followed by rates going lower, a key part of the process that is very likely to change going forward. Comments this week retrace key turning points for interest rate policy, where interest rates are headed and why this is a much improved outlook for dividend paying investments.
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