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Trade and Central Banks in Transition –Earnings: BRE, IPL, SPB, NVU, FTS

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The market's big appetite for low interest rates is understandable. Low interest rates are good for profits. The lack of earnings growth for the second quarter could use the help in the future.

Less than 12 months ago, the US central bank were for certain going to raise interest rates, now the expectation is for key benchmark rates to be set at zero, even lower. The change in the interest rate outlook is substantial, having it happen in just a couple of calendar quarters is disorienting to markets, causing increased volatility.

The largest issues behind the increased volatility are the erratic trade war between the US and China, and also waiting for the US central bank to re-establish predictable monetary policy. The status of each of these issues is covered in this week's comments.

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