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In Flux: Interest Rates, Inflation and Energy - Earnings: ALA, SLF, MFC, TRP, Preferred Shares

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Markets are finally seriously pricing in higher interest rates. How much higher not surprisingly, depends on future economic data. With inflation racing ahead, the eye-opener last week was the American economy contracting at an annualized rate of 1.4% for Q1-2022. This was well below forecasts of a 1.1% expansion following 6.9% growth in Q4-2021.

Gentle inflation has for a long time, been a tail wind for economies. Now the highest inflation in 40 years is shocking. Consumers are adjusting spending habits, profit margins for business are less certain.

Combine this with; a war including nuclear options, climate change and trigger happy central bankers, and it has become too much for markets to digest. At least one positive was moderating GDP growth. This was not nearly enough for Central banks to change their mantra, interest rates are going higher. The world is adjusting to a new balance between petroleum usage and climate change, also to inflation and central banks new inflation fighting stance. This is not happening in all countries. Comments this week will explain further.

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